Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SC Paderborn win with a probability of 46.26%. A win for FC Koln had a probability of 30.2% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a SC Paderborn win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.97%) and 2-0 (6.86%). The likeliest FC Koln win was 1-2 (7.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.