Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SC Paderborn win with a probability of 54.32%. A win for Kaiserslautern had a probability of 23.69% and a draw had a probability of 22%.
The most likely scoreline for a SC Paderborn win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.21%) and 2-0 (7.99%). The likeliest Kaiserslautern win was 1-2 (6.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10%). The actual scoreline of 5-3 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that SC Paderborn would win this match.