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2.Bundesliga | Gameweek 23
Feb 21, 2025 at 5.30pm UK
Volksparkstadion

Hamburger SV
3 - 0
Kaiserslautern

Selke (42', 65'), Amadu Uri Balde (78')
Mebude (58')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Prince Redondo (90+3')
Coverage of the 2.Bundesliga clash between Hamburger SV and Kaiserslautern.

Form, Standings, Stats

Hamburger SV

All competitions
Last Game: Jahn 1-1 Hamburger SV
Sunday, February 16 at 12.30pm in 2.Bundesliga

Kaiserslautern

All competitions
Last Game: Kaiserslautern 0-0 Hannover
Saturday, February 15 at 12pm in 2.Bundesliga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hamburger SV win with a probability of 54.18%. A win for Kaiserslautern had a probability of 24.5% and a draw had a probability of 21.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hamburger SV win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.22%) and 1-0 (7.05%). The likeliest Kaiserslautern win was 1-2 (6.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.32%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hamburger SV would win this match.

Result
Hamburger SVDrawKaiserslautern
54.18% (0.238 0.24)21.32% (-0.071999999999999 -0.07)24.5% (-0.168 -0.17)
Both teams to score 63.85% (0.063000000000002 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.39% (0.16799999999999 0.17)34.61% (-0.17 -0.17)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.45% (0.189 0.19)56.55% (-0.19 -0.19)
Hamburger SV Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.07% (0.12599999999999 0.13)12.92% (-0.128 -0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.63% (0.262 0.26)39.37% (-0.264 -0.26)
Kaiserslautern Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.32% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)26.68% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.07% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)61.93% (0.044000000000004 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Hamburger SV 54.18%
    Kaiserslautern 24.5%
    Draw 21.32%
Hamburger SVDrawKaiserslautern
2-1 @ 9.54% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 7.22% (0.008 0.01)
1-0 @ 7.05% (-0.027 -0.03)
3-1 @ 6.5% (0.031999999999999 0.03)
3-0 @ 4.92% (0.029 0.03)
3-2 @ 4.3% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
4-1 @ 3.33% (0.033 0.03)
4-0 @ 2.52% (0.027 0.03)
4-2 @ 2.2% (0.019 0.02)
5-1 @ 1.36% (0.019 0.02)
5-0 @ 1.03% (0.016 0.02)
4-3 @ 0.97% (0.007 0.01)
Other @ 3.25%
Total : 54.18%
1-1 @ 9.32% (-0.045 -0.04)
2-2 @ 6.3% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-0 @ 3.45% (-0.03 -0.03)
3-3 @ 1.89% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 0.36%
Total : 21.32%
1-2 @ 6.16% (-0.036 -0.04)
0-1 @ 4.56% (-0.044 -0.04)
0-2 @ 3.01% (-0.032 -0.03)
2-3 @ 2.78% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-3 @ 2.71% (-0.018 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.33% (-0.015 -0.01)
2-4 @ 0.92% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.04%
Total : 24.5%

Head to Head
Sep 21, 2024 7.30pm
Gameweek 6
Kaiserslautern
2-2
Hamburger SV
Ache (33'), Tachie (50')
Wekesser (38'), Kaloc (78')
Glatzel (59'), Selke (90+5')
Hadzikadunic (29'), Hefti (45+3'), Selke (62')
Apr 6, 2024 12pm
Gameweek 28
Hamburger SV
2-1
Kaiserslautern
Benes (34'), Poreba (60')
Konigsdorffer (73')
Ache (45+1')
Toure (57'), Funkel (58')
Oct 28, 2023 7.30pm
Gameweek 11
Kaiserslautern
3-3
Hamburger SV
Tomiak (13'), Ritter (24'), Boyd (54')
Boyd (49')
Glatzel (10', 65'), Muheim (73')
Heyer (35'), Walter (36'), Pherai (53'), Muheim (79'), Ramos (87')
Apr 15, 2023 7.30pm
Gameweek 28
Kaiserslautern
2-0
Hamburger SV
Boyd (71'), Opoku (85')
Oct 8, 2022 7.30pm
Gameweek 11
Hamburger SV
1-1
Kaiserslautern
Glatzel (24')
Lobinger (82')