Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hamburger SV win with a probability of 42.23%. A win for Hertha Berlin had a probability of 34.24% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hamburger SV win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.14%) and 0-2 (5.96%). The likeliest Hertha Berlin win was 2-1 (7.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.58%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hamburger SV would win this match.

Result
Hertha Berlin	Draw	Hamburger SV
34.24% ( -0.05)	23.52% ( -0)	42.23% ( 0.06)

Both teams to score 62.73% (

-0)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.98%

39.02% (

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.66% (

-0)

61.34% (

Hertha Berlin Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.29% (

-0.03)

22.7% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.63% (

-0.04)

56.36% (

0.05)

Hamburger SV Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.15% (

0.03)

18.85% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.7% (

0.04)

50.3% (

-0.04)

Score Analysis

Hertha Berlin 34.24%

Hamburger SV 42.23%

Draw 23.52%

Hertha Berlin	Draw	Hamburger SV
2-1 @ 7.85% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 6.35% ( -0) 2-0 @ 4.7% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 3.88% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 3.24% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.33% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.44% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.2% ( -0) Other @ 3.26% Total : 34.24%	1-1 @ 10.58% 2-2 @ 6.55% ( -0) 0-0 @ 4.28% 3-3 @ 1.8% ( -0) Other @ 0.31% Total : 23.52%	1-2 @ 8.83% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 7.14% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 5.96% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 4.91% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 3.64% ( 0) 0-3 @ 3.31% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 2.05% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.52% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.38% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.48% Total : 42.23%