Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kaiserslautern win with a probability of 60.19%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for SSV Ulm had a probability of 18.52%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kaiserslautern win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.96%) and 2-0 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.01%), while for a SSV Ulm win it was 1-2 (5.04%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Kaiserslautern in this match.