Ukrainian Premier League | Gameweek 27
May 4, 2025 at 4pm UK
Tsentralnyi Stadion
Oleksandriya

Polissya
1 - 2
Oleksandriya

Batista (45+2')
Maisuradze (36'), Andrievsky (90+4')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Kaliuzhnyi (32'), Cara (78')
Martynyuk (57'), Shabanov (90+4')
Coverage of the Ukrainian Premier League clash between Polissya Zhytomyr and FC Oleksandriya.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Kovalivka 1-1 Polissya
Sunday, April 27 at 1.30pm in Ukrainian Premier League
Last Game: Inhulets 0-1 Oleksandriya
Friday, April 25 at 1.30pm in Ukrainian Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Oleksandriya win with a probability of 38.74%. A win for Polissya Zhytomyr had a probability of 32.59% and a draw had a probability of 28.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Oleksandriya win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.89%) and 0-2 (7.42%). The likeliest Polissya Zhytomyr win was 1-0 (11.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Oleksandriya would win this match.

Result
Polissya ZhytomyrDrawFC Oleksandriya
32.59% (-0.449 -0.45)28.67% (0.126 0.13)38.74% (0.321 0.32)
Both teams to score 45.47% (-0.452 -0.45)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.05% (-0.514 -0.51)60.95% (0.51300000000001 0.51)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.04% (-0.389 -0.39)80.95% (0.387 0.39)
Polissya Zhytomyr Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.46% (-0.59100000000001 -0.59)34.54% (0.59 0.59)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.74% (-0.632 -0.63)71.26% (0.631 0.63)
FC Oleksandriya Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.47% (-0.063999999999993 -0.06)30.53% (0.063000000000002 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.24% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)66.75% (0.073999999999998 0.07)
Score Analysis
    Polissya Zhytomyr 32.59%
    FC Oleksandriya 38.73%
    Draw 28.67%
Polissya ZhytomyrDrawFC Oleksandriya
1-0 @ 11.21% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
2-1 @ 7.07% (-0.103 -0.1)
2-0 @ 5.96% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)
3-1 @ 2.51% (-0.078 -0.08)
3-0 @ 2.11% (-0.061 -0.06)
3-2 @ 1.49% (-0.049 -0.05)
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 32.59%
1-1 @ 13.3% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
0-0 @ 10.54% (0.2 0.2)
2-2 @ 4.19% (-0.069 -0.07)
Other @ 0.64%
Total : 28.67%
0-1 @ 12.51% (0.22 0.22)
1-2 @ 7.89% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-2 @ 7.42% (0.116 0.12)
1-3 @ 3.12% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.94% (0.041 0.04)
2-3 @ 1.66% (-0.03 -0.03)
1-4 @ 0.93% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 2.27%
Total : 38.73%

Head to Head
Nov 3, 2024 1.30pm
Gameweek 12
Oleksandriya
1-0
Polissya
Smyrnyi (83')
Kovalets (69'), Kovalets (74'), Martynyuk (85')

Nazarenko (25'), Smoliakov (59'), Babenko (85'), Sarapiy (90+1')
Mar 9, 2024 1.30pm
Gameweek 20
Polissya
1-2
Oleksandriya
Kozak (62' pen.)
Mykhaylichenko (43'), Taylor (48')
Taylor (82')
Mykhailenko (10'), Shulianskyi (77')
Kaliuzhnyi (40'), Belyaev (90+3')
Aug 26, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 5
Oleksandriya
0-3
Polissya

Smyrnyi (36'), Siheiev (52')
Nazarenko (77'), Makouana (80'), Budkivskyi (88')
Smoliakov (45'), Shabanov (51')
rhs 2.0


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