Ukrainian Premier League | Gameweek 9
Apr 13, 2025 at 11am UK
Stadion Vorskla im. Oleksiya Butov'skogo

Vorskla
0 - 2
Polissya


Avdyli (39'), Krupskyi (78')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Krushynskyi (16'), Yosefi (90')
Matic (42'), Mykhaylichenko (53'), Nazarenko (54'), Sarapiy (71'), Pereira Goncalves (78')
Coverage of the Ukrainian Premier League clash between Vorskla Poltava and Polissya Zhytomyr.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Vorskla 1-2 Luhansk
Saturday, April 5 at 11.45am in Ukrainian Premier League
Last Game: Polissya 1-1 Karpaty
Monday, April 7 at 4pm in Ukrainian Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Polissya Zhytomyr win with a probability of 47.92%. A draw had a probability of 27.2% and a win for Vorskla Poltava had a probability of 24.86%.

The most likely scoreline for a Polissya Zhytomyr win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.58%) and 1-2 (8.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.67%), while for a Vorskla Poltava win it was 1-0 (9.07%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Polissya Zhytomyr would win this match.

Result
Vorskla PoltavaDrawPolissya Zhytomyr
24.86% (1.102 1.1)27.22% (0.228 0.23)47.92% (-1.329 -1.33)
Both teams to score 45.38% (0.395 0.4)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.94% (-0.012 -0.01)59.06% (0.012 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.49% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)79.51% (0.012 0.01)
Vorskla Poltava Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.3% (1.019 1.02)39.7% (-1.018 -1.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.62% (0.929 0.93)76.38% (-0.92700000000001 -0.93)
Polissya Zhytomyr Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.27% (-0.626 -0.63)24.73% (0.628 0.63)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.71% (-0.886 -0.89)59.29% (0.889 0.89)
Score Analysis
    Vorskla Poltava 24.86%
    Polissya Zhytomyr 47.91%
    Draw 27.21%
Vorskla PoltavaDrawPolissya Zhytomyr
1-0 @ 9.07% (0.252 0.25)
2-1 @ 5.85% (0.217 0.22)
2-0 @ 4.19% (0.228 0.23)
3-1 @ 1.8% (0.114 0.11)
3-0 @ 1.29% (0.104 0.1)
3-2 @ 1.26% (0.058 0.06)
Other @ 1.4%
Total : 24.86%
1-1 @ 12.67% (0.13 0.13)
0-0 @ 9.82% (0.004999999999999 0)
2-2 @ 4.09% (0.078 0.08)
Other @ 0.64%
Total : 27.21%
0-1 @ 13.71% (-0.25 -0.25)
0-2 @ 9.58% (-0.352 -0.35)
1-2 @ 8.85% (-0.074 -0.07)
0-3 @ 4.46% (-0.249 -0.25)
1-3 @ 4.12% (-0.111 -0.11)
2-3 @ 1.9% (0.002 0)
0-4 @ 1.56% (-0.118 -0.12)
1-4 @ 1.44% (-0.066 -0.07)
Other @ 2.28%
Total : 47.91%

Head to Head
Oct 6, 2024 11am
Gameweek 24
Polissya
2-1
Vorskla
Hernandez (32'), Smoliakov (71')
Costa (58')
Kane (40')
Izotov (82')
Apr 29, 2024 4pm
Gameweek 26
Polissya
1-0
Vorskla
Nazarenko (80')
Tankovskiy (71'), Fortune (76')

Myakushko (31'), Khrypchuk (73'), Pavliuk (90+2')
Oct 22, 2023 1pm
Gameweek 11
Vorskla
0-3
Polissya

Chelyadin (15'), Sklyar (22'), Santana (56'), Stepanyuk (75'), (90')
Khrypchuk (90')
Kushnirenko (37' pen.), Makouana (54'), Shastal (90+1')
Kushnirenko (38'), Smoliakov (44')
rhs 2.0


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