Fakel
Russian Premier League | Gameweek 28
May 11, 2025 at 2.30pm UK
Central'nyi Stadion Profsoyuzov
Lokomotiv Moscow

Fakel
0 - 1
Lokomotiv


Kvekveskiri (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Vorobyev (22')
Pogostnov (53'), Pinyaev (90+3'), Suleymanov (90+5')
Coverage of the Russian Premier League clash between Fakel and Lokomotiv Moscow.

Form, Standings, Stats

Fakel

All competitions
Last Game: Fakel 0-0 Spartak Moscow
Sunday, May 4 at 12pm in Russian Premier League

Lokomotiv Moscow

All competitions
Last Game: Lokomotiv 1-1 Orenburg
Saturday, May 3 at 3pm in Russian Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lokomotiv Moscow win with a probability of 52.23%. A draw had a probability of 26.2% and a win for Fakel had a probability of 21.58%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lokomotiv Moscow win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.62%) and 1-2 (9.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.18%), while for a Fakel win it was 1-0 (8.14%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 14.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Lokomotiv Moscow in this match.

Result
FakelDrawLokomotiv Moscow
21.58% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)26.19% (0.061 0.06)52.23% (-0.047000000000004 -0.05)
Both teams to score 44.74% (-0.177 -0.18)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.88% (-0.224 -0.22)58.12% (0.22499999999999 0.22)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.22% (-0.176 -0.18)78.78% (0.17800000000001 0.18)
Fakel Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.64% (-0.143 -0.14)42.36% (0.145 0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.25% (-0.122 -0.12)78.75% (0.124 0.12)
Lokomotiv Moscow Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.63% (-0.114 -0.11)22.37% (0.115 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.13% (-0.172 -0.17)55.87% (0.174 0.17)
Score Analysis
    Fakel 21.58%
    Lokomotiv Moscow 52.22%
    Draw 26.18%
FakelDrawLokomotiv Moscow
1-0 @ 8.14% (0.037000000000001 0.04)
2-1 @ 5.24% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
2-0 @ 3.5% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-1 @ 1.5% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.12% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-0 @ 1% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 1.09%
Total : 21.58%
1-1 @ 12.18% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 9.48% (0.081 0.08)
2-2 @ 3.92% (-0.025 -0.02)
Other @ 0.61%
Total : 26.18%
0-1 @ 14.19% (0.08 0.08)
0-2 @ 10.62% (0.02 0.02)
1-2 @ 9.13% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
0-3 @ 5.3% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
1-3 @ 4.56% (-0.026000000000001 -0.03)
0-4 @ 1.99% (-0.01 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.96% (-0.019 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.71% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 52.22%

Head to Head
Nov 9, 2024 11am
Gameweek 15
Lokomotiv
2-1
Fakel
Batrakov (29' pen., 90+2' pen.)
Samoshnikov (73'), Batrakov (75'), Barinov (80')
Markov (84')
Kalinin (24')
May 18, 2024 2.30pm
Gameweek 29
Lokomotiv
2-0
Fakel
Suleymanov (11', 53')
Jul 30, 2023 3.30pm
Gameweek 2
Fakel
1-4
Lokomotiv
Markov (33')
Appaev (12'), Bozhin (69'), Bagamaev (83')
Dzyuba (12'), Tiknizyan (60', 89'), Pinyaev (67')
Pogostnov (24'), Pinyaev (66'), Lantratov (84')
May 20, 2023 12pm
Gameweek 28
Lokomotiv
1-0
Fakel
Miranchuk (87')
Barinov (25'), Pogostnov (46'), Tiknizyan (50'), Kuzmichev (61'), Glushenkov (80')
Sep 11, 2022 1pm
Gameweek 9
Fakel
2-0
Lokomotiv
Morozov (45+6'), Kvekveskiri (57')