Fakel
Russian Premier League | Gameweek 25
Apr 20, 2025 at 12pm UK
Central'nyi Stadion Profsoyuzov

Fakel
0 - 2
Rostov


Mertens (43'), Brahimi (45+2'), Yurganov (61')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Golenkov (30'), Kuchayev (77')
Golenkov (45+5'), Komarov (45+3'), Bayramyan (56'), Sako (86')
Coverage of the Russian Premier League clash between Fakel and Rostov.

Form, Standings, Stats

Fakel

All competitions
Last Game: Akron 1-0 Fakel
Sunday, April 13 at 12.30pm in Russian Premier League

Rostov

All competitions
Last Game: Akhmat Grozny 2-1 Rostov
Saturday, April 12 at 5.30pm in Russian Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rostov win with a probability of 41.36%. A win for Fakel had a probability of 29.8% and a draw had a probability of 28.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rostov win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.18%) and 1-2 (8.07%). The likeliest Fakel win was 1-0 (10.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.25%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rostov would win this match.

Result
FakelDrawRostov
29.8% (-0.035 -0.04)28.84% (0.031000000000002 0.03)41.36% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Both teams to score 44.16% (-0.093000000000004 -0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
37.85% (-0.107 -0.11)62.15% (0.108 0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.15% (-0.081 -0.08)81.85% (0.082000000000008 0.08)
Fakel Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.73% (-0.088000000000001 -0.09)37.27% (0.088000000000001 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.94% (-0.087 -0.09)74.05% (0.087000000000003 0.09)
Rostov Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.4% (-0.049999999999997 -0.05)29.6% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.37% (-0.061 -0.06)65.63% (0.061999999999998 0.06)
Score Analysis
    Fakel 29.79%
    Rostov 41.35%
    Draw 28.84%
FakelDrawRostov
1-0 @ 10.88% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
2-1 @ 6.54% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-0 @ 5.37% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-1 @ 2.15% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
3-0 @ 1.77% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-2 @ 1.31% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 1.76%
Total : 29.79%
1-1 @ 13.25%
0-0 @ 11.03% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
2-2 @ 3.98% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 0.57%
Total : 28.84%
0-1 @ 13.42% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-2 @ 8.18% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
1-2 @ 8.07% (-0.0089999999999986 -0.01)
0-3 @ 3.32%
1-3 @ 3.28% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.62% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.01% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-4 @ 1% (-0.0039999999999999 -0)
Other @ 1.47%
Total : 41.35%

Head to Head
Sep 1, 2024 6pm
Gameweek 7
Rostov
4-1
Fakel
Komlichenko (23'), Osipenko (45' pen.), Cesar (72'), Golenkov (84')
El Askalany (90+2')
Ilyin (68' pen.)
Ilyin (45+2'), Senhadji (57'), Appaev (82'), Dziov (88')
Apr 14, 2024 2.45pm
Gameweek 24
Fakel
0-1
Rostov

Kalinin (6'), Motpan (7'), Tashuev (7'), Kvekveskiri (48'), Alshin (60')
Cesar (83')
Bayramyan (23'), Sako (52')
Jul 23, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 1
Rostov
2-1
Fakel
Osipenko (39'), Tugarev (56')
Utkin (45'), Bayramyan (66')
Markov (17')
Kudryashov (20'), Markov (42'), Mendel (58'), Bozhin (58')
May 6, 2023 5pm
Gameweek 26
Rostov
0-2
Fakel
Akbashev (46'), Appaev (74')
Oct 22, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 14
Fakel
1-1
Rostov
Gongadze (90+7' pen.)
Glebov (50')