Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spartak Moscow win with a probability of 50.11%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Rostov had a probability of 24.76%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spartak Moscow win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.46%) and 0-2 (9.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.94%), while for a Rostov win it was 1-0 (7.54%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Spartak Moscow would win this match.