Lokomotiv Moscow
Russian Premier League | Gameweek 27
May 3, 2025 at 3pm UK
RZD Arena

Lokomotiv
1 - 1
Orenburg

Pinyaev (57')
Morozov (4'), Timofeev (49')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Tataev (66')
Saharkhizan Gendishmin (39'), Malykh (51'), Basic (72')
Coverage of the Russian Premier League clash between Lokomotiv Moscow and Orenburg.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Rostov 1-1 Lokomotiv
Saturday, April 26 at 2.30pm in Russian Premier League
Last Game: Krylia Sovetov 2-0 Orenburg
Sunday, April 27 at 12pm in Russian Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lokomotiv Moscow win with a probability of 62.58%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Orenburg had a probability of 16.43%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lokomotiv Moscow win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.92%) and 2-1 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.97%), while for a Orenburg win it was 0-1 (5.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10% likelihood.

Result
Lokomotiv MoscowDrawOrenburg
62.58% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)20.99% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)16.43% (0.044999999999998 0.04)
Both teams to score 51.48% (0.116 0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.32% (0.1 0.1)44.67% (-0.1 -0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.96% (0.097000000000001 0.1)67.04% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1)
Lokomotiv Moscow Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.32% (0.021000000000001 0.02)13.68% (-0.020999999999999 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.11% (0.039000000000001 0.04)40.89% (-0.038999999999994 -0.04)
Orenburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.64% (0.118 0.12)40.36% (-0.119 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.02% (0.106 0.11)76.98% (-0.107 -0.11)
Score Analysis
    Lokomotiv Moscow 62.57%
    Orenburg 16.43%
    Draw 20.99%
Lokomotiv MoscowDrawOrenburg
1-0 @ 10.98% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
2-0 @ 10.92% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-1 @ 9.91% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 7.24% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-1 @ 6.57% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
4-0 @ 3.6% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
4-1 @ 3.27% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.98% (0.013 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.48% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
5-0 @ 1.43% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
5-1 @ 1.3% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 62.57%
1-1 @ 9.97% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
0-0 @ 5.52% (-0.024 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.5% (0.016 0.02)
3-3 @ 0.9% (0.007 0.01)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 20.99%
0-1 @ 5.01% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
1-2 @ 4.52% (0.013 0.01)
0-2 @ 2.27% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.37% (0.008 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.36% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 1.9%
Total : 16.43%

Head to Head
Sep 14, 2024 10am
Gameweek 8
Orenburg
2-4
Lokomotiv
Saharkhizan Gendishmin (36', 62')
Prokhin (30'), Mansilla (41')
Batrakov (16', 39'), Nyamsi (86'), Sarveli (90+7')
Rakov (57'), Batrakov (72')
May 12, 2024 12pm
Gameweek 28
Orenburg
0-2
Lokomotiv

Florentin (54'), Barinov (75')
Florentin (83')
Batrakov (8'), Silyanov (62')
Morozov (28'), Deogracia (36'), Perez (75'), Batrakov (86')
Sep 17, 2023 5pm
Gameweek 8
Lokomotiv
0-2
Orenburg
Basic (84'), Vorobyev (90+4')
Gojkovic (88'), Vorobyev (90+5')
Apr 16, 2023 12pm
Gameweek 23
Orenburg
1-4
Lokomotiv
Vorobyev (45+3')
Glushenkov (10', 30'), Tiknizyan (26'), Kamano (55')
Aug 28, 2022 1pm
Gameweek 7
Lokomotiv
5-1
Orenburg
Ignatyev (8', 11', 19'), Kerk (52'), Miranchuk (90+4' pen.)
Barinov (82')
Sychevoy (13')
Pavlovets (36'), Khotulev (84'), Florentin (90+4')