Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CSKA Moscow win with a probability of 45.29%. A win for Orenburg had a probability of 29.62% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a CSKA Moscow win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.21%) and 0-2 (7.64%). The likeliest Orenburg win was 1-0 (7.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.88%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that CSKA Moscow would win this match.

Result
Orenburg	Draw	CSKA Moscow
29.62% ( -0.13)	25.09% ( -0.08)	45.29% ( 0.21)

Both teams to score 55.17% (

0.18)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.97% (

0.27)

48.03% (

-0.27)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.81% (

0.25)

70.2% (

-0.24)

Orenburg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.04% (

0.05)

29.97% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.93% (

0.06)

66.08% (

-0.05)

CSKA Moscow Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.77% (

0.21)

21.23% (

-0.2)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.87% (

0.32)

54.13% (

-0.31)

Score Analysis

Orenburg 29.62%

CSKA Moscow 45.29%

Draw 25.09%

Orenburg	Draw	CSKA Moscow
1-0 @ 7.67% ( -0.08) 2-1 @ 7.16% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 4.62% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 2.88% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.23% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 1.86% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.22% Total : 29.62%	1-1 @ 11.88% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 6.36% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 5.55% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.15% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.09%	0-1 @ 9.86% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 9.21% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 7.64% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 4.76% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 3.95% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 2.87% ( 0.03) 1-4 @ 1.84% ( 0.03) 0-4 @ 1.53% ( 0.02) 2-4 @ 1.11% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.54% Total : 45.29%