Russian Premier League | Gameweek 23

Apr 4, 2025 at 5pm UK

Stadion Nizhny Novgorod

Nizhny Novgorod
1 - 2
Orenburg

Vecino (45+7' pen.)
Grulyov (53')

FT(HT: 1-2)

Kasimov (24'), Mansilla (45+1')
Tataev (46')
Saharkhizan Gendishmin (90+8')

Coverage of the Russian Premier League clash between Nizhny Novgorod and Orenburg.

Form, Standings, Stats

Nizhny Novgorod

All competitions

Last Game: Khimki 2-0 Nizhny Novgorod
Saturday, March 29 at 1.30pm in Russian Premier League

Goals
for

Orenburg

All competitions

Last Game: Dynamo Moscow 5-1 Orenburg
Saturday, March 29 at 11am in Russian Premier League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nizhny Novgorod win with a probability of 37.03%. A win for Orenburg had a probability of 35.68% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nizhny Novgorod win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.03%) and 2-0 (6.62%). The likeliest Orenburg win was 0-1 (10.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.

Result
Nizhny Novgorod	Draw	Orenburg
37.03% ( -0.86)	27.3% ( 0.44)	35.68% ( 0.41)

Both teams to score 49.96% (

-1.38)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.44% (

-1.74)

55.56% (

1.74)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.27% (

-1.45)

76.73% (

1.45)

Nizhny Novgorod Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.1% (

-1.34)

28.91% (

1.34)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.22% (

-1.69)

64.78% (

1.69)

Orenburg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.27% (

-0.6)

29.73% (

0.6)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.21% (

-0.73)

65.79% (

0.73)

Score Analysis

Nizhny Novgorod 37.02%

Orenburg 35.67%

Draw 27.29%

Nizhny Novgorod	Draw	Orenburg
1-0 @ 10.66% ( 0.32) 2-1 @ 8.03% ( -0.19) 2-0 @ 6.62% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 3.32% ( -0.21) 3-0 @ 2.74% ( -0.13) 3-2 @ 2.02% ( -0.16) 4-1 @ 1.03% ( -0.11) Other @ 2.61% Total : 37.02%	1-1 @ 12.93% ( 0.17) 0-0 @ 8.59% ( 0.56) 2-2 @ 4.87% ( -0.2) Other @ 0.9% Total : 27.29%	0-1 @ 10.42% ( 0.52) 1-2 @ 7.85% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 6.32% ( 0.22) 1-3 @ 3.17% ( -0.06) 0-3 @ 2.56% ( 0.05) 2-3 @ 1.97% ( -0.12) 1-4 @ 0.96% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.42% Total : 35.67%