Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CSKA Moscow win with a probability of 67.19%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Dynamo Makhachkala had a probability of 11.68%.
The most likely scoreline for a CSKA Moscow win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.42%) and 2-1 (9.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.65%), while for a Dynamo Makhachkala win it was 0-1 (5.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 14.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that CSKA Moscow would win this match.