Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lokomotiv Moscow win with a probability of 51.17%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Rubin Kazan had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lokomotiv Moscow win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.8%) and 1-2 (9.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.08%), while for a Rubin Kazan win it was 1-0 (7.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.