Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rubin Kazan win with a probability of 47.58%. A draw had a probability of 28.1% and a win for Fakel had a probability of 24.34%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rubin Kazan win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.84%) and 2-1 (8.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.8%), while for a Fakel win it was 0-1 (9.6%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rubin Kazan would win this match.

Result
Rubin Kazan	Draw	Fakel
47.58% ( -0.2)	28.08% ( 0)	24.34% ( 0.2)

Both teams to score 42.73% (

0.16)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

37.78% (

0.12)

62.22% (

-0.12)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

18.1% (

0.08)

81.9% (

-0.08)

Rubin Kazan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.66% (

-0.05)

26.34% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.52% (

-0.06)

61.48% (

0.06)

Fakel Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58% (

0.26)

41.99% (

-0.25)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.57% (

0.22)

78.43% (

-0.22)

Score Analysis

Rubin Kazan 47.57%

Fakel 24.34%

Draw 28.08%

Rubin Kazan	Draw	Fakel
1-0 @ 14.75% ( -0.08) 2-0 @ 9.84% ( -0.07) 2-1 @ 8.54% ( 0) 3-0 @ 4.38% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 3.8% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.65% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.46% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.27% ( -0) Other @ 1.89% Total : 47.57%	1-1 @ 12.8% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 11.06% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 3.71% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.51% Total : 28.08%	0-1 @ 9.6% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 5.56% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 4.16% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 1.61% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 1.2% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.07% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.14% Total : 24.34%