Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dynamo Moscow win with a probability of 64.33%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for Rubin Kazan had a probability of 15.25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dynamo Moscow win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.08%) and 2-1 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.7%), while for a Rubin Kazan win it was 0-1 (4.76%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dynamo Moscow would win this match.