Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dynamo Moscow win with a probability of 50.24%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Nizhny Novgorod had a probability of 24.64%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dynamo Moscow win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.47%) and 0-2 (9.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.94%), while for a Nizhny Novgorod win it was 1-0 (7.54%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood.

Result
Nizhny Novgorod	Draw	Dynamo Moscow
24.64% ( -1.11)	25.12% ( -0.09)	50.24% ( 1.2)

Both teams to score 51.13% (

-0.78)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.54% (

-0.52)

51.46% (

0.52)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.73% (

-0.46)

73.26% (

0.45)

Nizhny Novgorod Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.3% (

-1.23)

35.69% (

1.23)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.54% (

-1.29)

72.46% (

1.29)

Dynamo Moscow Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.5% (

0.29)

20.49% (

-0.29)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.02% (

0.46)

52.97% (

-0.46)

Score Analysis

Nizhny Novgorod 24.64%

Dynamo Moscow 50.24%

Draw 25.11%

Nizhny Novgorod	Draw	Dynamo Moscow
1-0 @ 7.54% ( -0.1) 2-1 @ 6.15% ( -0.23) 2-0 @ 3.88% ( -0.18) 3-1 @ 2.11% ( -0.16) 3-2 @ 1.68% ( -0.11) 3-0 @ 1.33% ( -0.11) Other @ 1.95% Total : 24.64%	1-1 @ 11.94% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 7.31% ( 0.15) 2-2 @ 4.88% ( -0.14) Other @ 0.98% Total : 25.11%	0-1 @ 11.59% ( 0.34) 1-2 @ 9.47% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 9.19% ( 0.35) 1-3 @ 5% ( 0.07) 0-3 @ 4.86% ( 0.23) 2-3 @ 2.58% ( -0.05) 1-4 @ 1.98% ( 0.05) 0-4 @ 1.92% ( 0.11) 2-4 @ 1.02% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.63% Total : 50.24%