Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dynamo Moscow win with a probability of 50.24%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Nizhny Novgorod had a probability of 24.64%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dynamo Moscow win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.47%) and 0-2 (9.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.94%), while for a Nizhny Novgorod win it was 1-0 (7.54%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood.