Major League Soccer

May 18, 2025 at 12.30am UK

Bank of America Stadium

Charlotte FC
1 - 4
Chicago Fire

Agyemang (70', 70')
Westwood (77'), Westwood (77'), Biel (90+6'), Biel (90+6')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Bamba (42', 42'), Gutierrez (60', 60', 79' pen., 79' pen.), Zinckernagel (63', 63')
Rogers (8'), Rogers (8'), Pineda (24'), Pineda (24')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's MLS Playoffs clash between Charlotte FC and Chicago Fire, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Charlotte FC

All competitions

Major League Soccer

Last Game: Orlando City 3-1 Charlotte FC
Thursday, May 15 at 12.30am in MLS Playoffs

Goals
for

Chicago Fire

All competitions

Last Game: Chicago Fire 2-1 Atlanta
Saturday, May 10 at 7.30pm in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Charlotte FC win with a probability of 54.46%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Chicago Fire had a probability of 22.59%.

The most likely scoreline for a Charlotte FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.84%) and 2-0 (9.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.8%), while for a Chicago Fire win it was 0-1 (5.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood.

Result
Charlotte FC	Draw	Chicago Fire
54.46% ( -1.44)	22.95% ( 0.41)	22.59% ( 1.03)

Both teams to score 55.65% (

0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.67% (

-0.63)

44.33% (

0.63)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.3% (

-0.61)

66.7% (

0.61)

Charlotte FC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.81% (

-0.71)

16.19% (

0.71)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.34% (

-1.31)

45.66% (

1.31)

Chicago Fire Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.4% (

0.6)

33.6% (

-0.6)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.76% (

0.65)

70.24% (

-0.65)

Score Analysis

Charlotte FC 54.46%

Chicago Fire 22.59%

Draw 22.95%

Charlotte FC	Draw	Chicago Fire
1-0 @ 9.9% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 9.84% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 9.02% ( -0.2) 3-1 @ 5.97% ( -0.18) 3-0 @ 5.47% ( -0.26) 3-2 @ 3.26% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 2.72% ( -0.15) 4-0 @ 2.49% ( -0.18) 4-2 @ 1.48% ( -0.06) 5-1 @ 0.99% ( -0.08) 5-0 @ 0.91% ( -0.09) Other @ 2.42% Total : 54.46%	1-1 @ 10.8% ( 0.21) 0-0 @ 5.44% ( 0.15) 2-2 @ 5.36% ( 0.06) 3-3 @ 1.18% ( 0) Other @ 0.16% Total : 22.95%	0-1 @ 5.93% ( 0.25) 1-2 @ 5.89% ( 0.21) 0-2 @ 3.24% ( 0.19) 1-3 @ 2.14% ( 0.11) 2-3 @ 1.95% ( 0.05) 0-3 @ 1.18% ( 0.09) Other @ 2.27% Total : 22.59%