Orlando City
MLS Playoffs | Regular Season
May 15, 2025 at 12.30am UK
Spectrum Stadium
Charlotte FC

Orlando City
3 - 1
Charlotte FC

Muriel (8', 8'), Ojeda (24', 24'), Enrique (82', 82')
Araujo (58'), Araujo (58'), Gerbet (80'), Gerbet (80')
FT(HT: 4-2)
Zaha (34', 34')
Zaha (27'), Zaha (27')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's MLS Playoffs clash between Orlando City and Charlotte FC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Orlando City 3-3 New England
Sunday, May 11 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Nashville 2-1 Charlotte FC
Sunday, May 11 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Orlando City win with a probability of 59.27%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Charlotte FC had a probability of 19.53%.

The most likely scoreline for a Orlando City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.3%) and 1-0 (9.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.86%), while for a Charlotte FC win it was 1-2 (5.27%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-1 win for Orlando City in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Orlando City.

Result
Orlando CityDrawCharlotte FC
59.27% (0.121 0.12)21.21% (-0.013000000000002 -0.01)19.53% (-0.102 -0.1)
Both teams to score 56.89% (-0.13 -0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.52% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09)40.48% (0.092999999999996 0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.14% (-0.089999999999996 -0.09)62.86% (0.096000000000004 0.1)
Orlando City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.67% (0.012 0.01)13.33% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.8% (0.015999999999998 0.02)40.2% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)
Charlotte FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.65% (-0.15300000000001 -0.15)34.35% (0.16 0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.94% (-0.164 -0.16)71.06% (0.17 0.17)
Score Analysis
    Orlando City 59.27%
    Charlotte FC 19.53%
    Draw 21.21%
Orlando CityDrawCharlotte FC
2-1 @ 9.94% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-0 @ 9.3% (0.042999999999999 0.04)
1-0 @ 9.23% (0.040999999999999 0.04)
3-1 @ 6.67% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 6.25% (0.03 0.03)
3-2 @ 3.57% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-1 @ 3.36% (0.0020000000000002 0)
4-0 @ 3.15% (0.016 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.8% (-0.006 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.35% (0.0010000000000001 0)
5-0 @ 1.27% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 3.4%
Total : 59.27%
1-1 @ 9.86% (0.0010000000000012 0)
2-2 @ 5.31% (-0.021 -0.02)
0-0 @ 4.58% (0.019 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.27% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 21.21%
1-2 @ 5.27% (-0.022 -0.02)
0-1 @ 4.89%
0-2 @ 2.62% (-0.011 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.89% (-0.016 -0.02)
1-3 @ 1.88% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-3 @ 0.93% (-0.0079999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 2.05%
Total : 19.53%

How you voted: Orlando City vs Charlotte FC

Orlando City
77.8%
Draw
11.1%
Charlotte FC
11.1%
9
Head to Head
Nov 9, 2024 11pm
MLS Cup Round One
Orlando City
1-1
Charlotte FC
(Aggregate 1-1 | Orlando City win 4-1 on penalties)
Torres (90+12')
Enrique (64')
Swiderski (81')
Agyemang (40'), Malanda (46'), Byrne (53'), Biel (83'), Bronico (84'), Urso (90+5')
Nov 1, 2024 11.30pm
MLS Cup Round One
Charlotte FC
0-0
Orlando City
(Aggregate 0-0 | Charlotte FC win 3-1 on penalties)
Abada (45')
Jansson (35'), Schlegel (90+1'), Cartagena (90+7')
Oct 27, 2024 11.30pm
MLS Cup Round One
Orlando City
2-0
Charlotte FC
Torres (32'), Ojeda (77')
Cartagena (62')

Biel (90+1')
Sep 19, 2024 1.15am
Orlando City
2-0
Charlotte FC
Torres (52'), McGuire (89')
Ojeda (22'), Dan Thor­halls­son (42'), Araujo (83'), Cartagena (90+8')

Bronico (36')
Jun 20, 2024 12.30am
Charlotte FC
2-2
Orlando City
Vargas (12'), Bronico (77')
Byrne (90+1')
Arfield (38')
McGuire (64'), Torres (81')
McGuire (27'), Torres (50')