Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 34

Apr 23, 2022 at 4pm UK

Stade de Gerland

Lyon
5 - 2
Montpellier

Dembele (26'), Mendes (43'), Aouar (63', 90+1'), Toko Ekambi (68')
Boateng (75'), Gusto (89')

FT(HT: 2-2)

Wahi (45+1'), Savanier (45+3' pen.)
Oyongo (28'), Cozza (42')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Lyon and Montpellier HSC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lyon

Last Six:

Last Game: Clermont 1-2 Lyon
Saturday, May 21 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
7	Lens	38	14	62
8	Lyon	38	15	61
9	Nantes	38	7	55

Montpellier HSC

Last Six:

Last Game: Angers 2-0 Montpellier
Saturday, May 21 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
12	Reims	38	-1	46
13	Montpellier HSC	38	-12	43
14	Angers	38	-11	41

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 76.19%. A draw had a probability of 14.6% and a win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 9.17%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 2-0 with a probability of 11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.68%) and 2-1 (8.98%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.8%), while for a Montpellier HSC win it was 1-2 (2.78%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lyon would win this match.

Result
Lyon	Draw	Montpellier HSC
76.19%	14.63%	9.17%

Both teams to score 51.8%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

67.07%

32.93%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

45.35%

54.65%

Lyon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

92.85%

7.14%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

74%

26%

Montpellier HSC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

55.79%

44.21%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.7%

80.29%

Score Analysis

Lyon 76.19%

Montpellier HSC 9.17%

Draw 14.63%

Lyon	Draw	Montpellier HSC
2-0 @ 11% 3-0 @ 9.68% 2-1 @ 8.98% 1-0 @ 8.34% 3-1 @ 7.9% 4-0 @ 6.39% 4-1 @ 5.21% 5-0 @ 3.37% 3-2 @ 3.22% 5-1 @ 2.75% 4-2 @ 2.13% 6-0 @ 1.48% 6-1 @ 1.21% 5-2 @ 1.12% Other @ 3.41% Total : 76.19%	1-1 @ 6.8% 2-2 @ 3.67% 0-0 @ 3.16% Other @ 1.01% Total : 14.63%	1-2 @ 2.78% 0-1 @ 2.58% 0-2 @ 1.05% 2-3 @ 1% Other @ 1.77% Total : 9.17%