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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 37.96%. A win for Bradford City had a probability of 35.38% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.27%) and 2-0 (6.61%). The likeliest Bradford City win was 0-1 (9.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.67%). The actual scoreline of 5-4 was predicted with a 0% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Swindon Town would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Swindon Town | Draw | Bradford City |
| 37.96% ( | 26.65% ( | 35.38% ( |
| Both teams to score 52% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.02% ( | 52.97% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.42% ( | 74.57% ( |
| Swindon Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.88% ( | 27.12% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.49% ( | 62.51% ( |
| Bradford City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.35% ( | 28.64% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.54% ( | 64.45% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Swindon Town | Draw | Bradford City |
| 1-0 @ 10.13% ( 2-1 @ 8.27% ( 2-0 @ 6.61% ( 3-1 @ 3.6% 3-0 @ 2.88% ( 3-2 @ 2.25% ( 4-1 @ 1.17% 4-0 @ 0.94% ( Other @ 2.11% Total : 37.96% | 1-1 @ 12.67% 0-0 @ 7.77% ( 2-2 @ 5.17% ( 3-3 @ 0.94% ( Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.65% | 0-1 @ 9.71% ( 1-2 @ 7.92% ( 0-2 @ 6.07% ( 1-3 @ 3.3% ( 0-3 @ 2.53% ( 2-3 @ 2.15% ( 1-4 @ 1.03% ( Other @ 2.66% Total : 35.38% |