Major League Soccer
Jun 11, 2023 at 1.30am UK
Children's Mercy Park
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Kansas City win with a probability of 65.59%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for Austin FC had a probability of 14.25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Kansas City win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.58%) and 2-1 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.59%), while for an Austin FC win it was 0-1 (4.7%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sporting Kansas City would win this match.
Result |
Sporting Kansas City | Draw | Austin FC |
65.59% ( -0.23) | 20.16% ( 0.13) | 14.25% ( 0.1) |
Both teams to score 48.99% ( -0.16) |