AFC Champions League | Preliminary Round

Aug 15, 2023 at 4.35pm UK

Al-Rashid Stadium

Shabab Al-Ahli
3 - 0
Al Wihdat

Ganiev (57'), Renan (65'), Dabour (86')
Renan (45'), Marzooq (50')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Mohammad Fahid (18'), Manuel de Oliveira (62'), Assam (90+4')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the AFC Champions League Preliminary Round clash between Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai and Al Wihdat.

Form, Standings, Stats

Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai

Last Game: Al-Hilal 3-1 Shabab Al-Ahli
Monday, February 20 at 6pm in AFC Champions League

Al Wihdat

Last Game: Al Wihdat 2-2 Nasaf
Wednesday, April 27 at 6.15pm in AFC Champions League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai win with a probability of 39.46%. A win for Al Wihdat had a probability of 33.91% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.45%) and 2-0 (6.94%). The likeliest Al Wihdat win was 0-1 (9.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.66%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai would win this match.

Result
Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai	Draw	Al Wihdat
39.46% ( 0.52)	26.62% ( 0.01)	33.91% ( -0.52)

Both teams to score 51.87% (

-0.13)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.95% (

-0.12)

53.05% (

0.12)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.36% (

-0.1)

74.63% (

0.1)

Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.68% (

0.23)

26.32% (

-0.23)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.55% (

0.3)

61.45% (

-0.3)

Al Wihdat Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.4% (

-0.39)

29.6% (

0.39)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.36% (

-0.48)

65.63% (

0.48)

Score Analysis

Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai 39.45%

Al Wihdat 33.91%

Draw 26.62%

Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai	Draw	Al Wihdat
1-0 @ 10.39% ( 0.11) 2-1 @ 8.45% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 6.94% ( 0.12) 3-1 @ 3.76% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 3.09% ( 0.07) 3-2 @ 2.29% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.26% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.03% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.25% Total : 39.45%	1-1 @ 12.66% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.79% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 5.14% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 0.93% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.62%	0-1 @ 9.48% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 7.71% ( -0.08) 0-2 @ 5.77% ( -0.1) 1-3 @ 3.13% ( -0.07) 0-3 @ 2.34% ( -0.07) 2-3 @ 2.09% ( -0.03) 1-4 @ 0.95% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.44% Total : 33.91%