La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 38

May 25, 2024 at 3.15pm UK

Reale Arena

Real Sociedad
0 - 2
Atletico

Pacheco (45+2'), Mendez (57'), Ander Olasagasti (90')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Lino (9'), Mandava (90+3')
Vermeeren (41'), Koke (45'), Niguez (80'), Mandava (87')
Niguez (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Real Sociedad and Atletico Madrid, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Real Sociedad

All competitions

Last Game: Betis 0-2 Real Sociedad
Sunday, May 19 at 6pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Atletico Madrid

All competitions

Last Game: Atletico 1-4 Osasuna
Sunday, May 19 at 6pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Real Sociedad 1-1 Atletico Madrid

Both teams are merely playing for pride in this fixture, but they will want to end the campaign on a positive note, particularly the hosts in front of their own supporters. Atletico have got the better of Real Sociedad in recent meetings, but as there is little to separate these two evenly-matched sides at present, we can see Alguacil's men claiming at least a share of the spoils this time around. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 41.53%. A win for Atletico Madrid had a probability of 32.04% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.7%) and 2-0 (7.36%). The likeliest Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 (9.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.57%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.

Result
Real Sociedad	Draw	Atletico Madrid
41.53% ( -0.08)	26.43% ( -0.04)	32.04% ( 0.12)

Both teams to score 51.96% (

0.18)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.3% (

0.2)

52.7% (

-0.2)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.66% (

0.18)

74.34% (

-0.17)

Real Sociedad Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.94% (

0.05)

25.06% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.26% (

0.07)

59.74% (

-0.07)

Atletico Madrid Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.34% (

0.19)

30.66% (

-0.18)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.09% (

0.22)

66.91% (

-0.21)

Score Analysis

Real Sociedad 41.52%

Atletico Madrid 32.04%

Draw 26.43%

Real Sociedad	Draw	Atletico Madrid
1-0 @ 10.63% ( -0.07) 2-1 @ 8.7% 2-0 @ 7.36% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 4.01% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 3.39% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.37% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.39% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.17% ( -0) Other @ 2.5% Total : 41.52%	1-1 @ 12.57% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.68% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 5.14% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 0.93% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.43%	0-1 @ 9.08% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 7.43% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 5.37% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.93% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 2.12% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.03% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.09% Total : 32.04%