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FA Cup | First Round
Nov 4, 2023 at 3pm UK
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MK Dons

Reading
3 - 2
MK Dons

Ehibhaimha (3'), Knibbs (64'), Wing (68')
Elliott (28'), Hutchinson (49'), Knibbs (77'), (90+7')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Gilbey (39'), Dean (90+3')
Dean (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's FA Cup clash between Reading and MK Dons, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Reading

All competitions
Last Game: Reading 2-3 Portsmouth
Saturday, October 28 at 3pm in League One

MK Dons

All competitions
Last Game: MK Dons 3-2 Swindon
Saturday, October 28 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Reading 1-2 MK Dons

 While Reading may play their football in the league above MK Dons, they head into the weekend off the back of a poor run of form. In contrast to their hosts, MK Dons will be full of confidence following consecutive victories, and we think that they will continue to build momentum with a win in Saturday's cup tie. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Reading win with a probability of 40.05%. A win for MK Dons had a probability of 35.71% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Reading win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.68%) and 2-0 (5.96%). The likeliest MK Dons win was 1-2 (8.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.16%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Reading would win this match.

Result
ReadingDrawMK Dons
40.05%24.23%35.71%
Both teams to score 60.42%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.84%42.16%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.43%64.56%
Reading Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.84%21.16%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.97%54.02%
MK Dons Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.64%23.36%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.67%57.33%
Score Analysis
    Reading 40.05%
    MK Dons 35.71%
    Draw 24.23%
ReadingDrawMK Dons
2-1 @ 8.67%
1-0 @ 7.68%
2-0 @ 5.96%
3-1 @ 4.49%
3-2 @ 3.26%
3-0 @ 3.09%
4-1 @ 1.74%
4-2 @ 1.27%
4-0 @ 1.2%
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 40.05%
1-1 @ 11.16%
2-2 @ 6.3%
0-0 @ 4.94%
3-3 @ 1.58%
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 24.23%
1-2 @ 8.12%
0-1 @ 7.19%
0-2 @ 5.23%
1-3 @ 3.93%
2-3 @ 3.06%
0-3 @ 2.53%
1-4 @ 1.43%
2-4 @ 1.11%
0-4 @ 0.92%
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 35.71%

Head to Head
Aug 23, 2016 8pm
Round Two
Reading
2-2
MK Dons
 Reading win 4-2 on penalties
Harriott (68', 114')
Jaakkola (34'), Moore (81'), Quinn (81'), Williams (118')
Bowditch (34' pen.), Tshimanga (118')
Bowditch (60'), Upson (103')
Jan 16, 2016 3pm
MK Dons
1-0
Reading
Walsh (78')
Carruthers (63'), McFadzean (67')

Gunter (25'), Robson-Kanu (37'), Williams (84')
Aug 22, 2015 3pm
Reading
0-0
MK Dons
> Match Report
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CManchester CityMan City38287396346291
2Arsenal38285591296289
3Liverpool382410486414582
4Aston Villa382081076611568
5Tottenham HotspurSpurs382061274611366
6Chelsea381891177631463
7Newcastle UnitedNewcastle381861485622360
8Manchester UnitedMan Utd38186145758-160
9West Ham UnitedWest Ham381410146074-1452
10Crystal Palace381310155758-149
11Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton381212145562-748
12Bournemouth38139165467-1348
13Fulham38138175561-647
14Wolverhampton WanderersWolves38137185065-1546
15Everton38139164051-1140
16Brentford38109195665-939
17Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest3899204967-1832
RLuton TownLuton3868245285-3326
RBurnley3859244178-3724
RSheffield UnitedSheff Utd38372835104-6916
> Premier League Full Table


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