Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 17

Dec 21, 2024 at 3pm UK

Portman Road Stadium

Ipswich
0 - 4
Newcastle

Morsy (65'), Al-Hamadi (76')

FT(HT: 0-3)

Isak (1', 45+2', 54'), Murphy (32')

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Ipswich Town

All competitions

Last Game: Wolves 1-2 Ipswich
Saturday, December 14 at 3pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Newcastle United

All competitions

Premier League

Last Game: Newcastle 3-1 Brentford
Wednesday, December 18 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United win with a probability of 46.78%. A win for Ipswich Town had a probability of 30.34% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.19%) and 0-2 (6.49%). The likeliest Ipswich Town win was 2-1 (7.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.19%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Newcastle United would win this match.

Result
Ipswich Town	Draw	Newcastle United
30.34% ( 0.34)	22.88% ( 0.27)	46.78% ( -0.62)

Both teams to score 63.32% (

-0.81)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

62.5% (

-1.15)

37.5% (

1.15)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

40.27% (

-1.25)

59.72% (

1.25)

Ipswich Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.77% (

-0.36)

24.22% (

0.36)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.43% (

-0.52)

58.57% (

0.51)

Newcastle United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.56% (

-0.67)

16.43% (

0.66)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.89% (

-1.21)

46.1% (

1.21)

Score Analysis

Ipswich Town 30.34%

Newcastle United 46.78%

Draw 22.88%

Ipswich Town	Draw	Newcastle United
2-1 @ 7.23% ( 0.09) 1-0 @ 5.64% ( 0.25) 2-0 @ 4% ( 0.14) 3-1 @ 3.42% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.08% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 1.89% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 1.21% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.09% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.78% Total : 30.34%	1-1 @ 10.19% ( 0.23) 2-2 @ 6.52% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 3.98% ( 0.22) 3-3 @ 1.86% ( -0.08) Other @ 0.33% Total : 22.88%	1-2 @ 9.2% ( 0) 0-1 @ 7.19% ( 0.24) 0-2 @ 6.49% ( 0.07) 1-3 @ 5.54% ( -0.12) 2-3 @ 3.93% ( -0.13) 0-3 @ 3.91% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 2.5% ( -0.11) 2-4 @ 1.77% ( -0.1) 0-4 @ 1.76% ( -0.06) 1-5 @ 0.9% ( -0.06) Other @ 3.57% Total : 46.78%