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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fleetwood Town win with a probability of 47.74%. A win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 26.77% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fleetwood Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.31%) and 2-0 (8.6%). The likeliest Accrington Stanley win was 0-1 (7.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Fleetwood Town | Draw | Accrington Stanley |
| 47.74% ( | 25.49% ( | 26.77% ( |
| Both teams to score 51.91% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.64% ( | 51.37% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.81% ( | 73.19% ( |
| Fleetwood Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.48% ( | 21.52% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.42% ( | 54.59% ( |
| Accrington Stanley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.14% ( | 33.86% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.48% ( | 70.53% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Fleetwood Town | Draw | Accrington Stanley |
| 1-0 @ 11.19% ( 2-1 @ 9.31% ( 2-0 @ 8.6% ( 3-1 @ 4.77% ( 3-0 @ 4.4% ( 3-2 @ 2.58% ( 4-1 @ 1.83% ( 4-0 @ 1.69% ( 4-2 @ 0.99% ( Other @ 2.38% Total : 47.74% | 1-1 @ 12.12% ( 0-0 @ 7.29% ( 2-2 @ 5.04% ( 3-3 @ 0.93% ( Other @ 0.1% Total : 25.48% | 0-1 @ 7.89% ( 1-2 @ 6.57% ( 0-2 @ 4.27% ( 1-3 @ 2.37% ( 2-3 @ 1.82% ( 0-3 @ 1.54% ( Other @ 2.31% Total : 26.77% |