Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 32

May 4, 2024 at 8pm UK

Stade Francis-Le Ble

Brest
0 - 0
Nantes

Locko (21'), Lala (59'), Doumbia (87'), Doumbia (93')

Traore (54'), Chirivella (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Brest and Nantes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Brest

All competitions

Last Game: Rennes 4-5 Brest
Sunday, April 28 at 4.05pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Nantes

All competitions

Last Game: Montpellier 1-1 Nantes
Friday, April 26 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Brest have won the last two head-to-head meetings by a 2-0 scoreline, and after winning three of their last five home matches, we think that the hosts will make full use of home advantage to claim a narrow victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brest win with a probability of 48.17%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Nantes had a probability of 25.83%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brest win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.22%) and 2-0 (9.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.33%), while for a Nantes win it was 0-1 (8.25%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.

Result
Brest	Draw	Nantes
48.17% ( -0.53)	26% ( -0.13)	25.83% ( 0.66)

Both teams to score 49.59% (

0.96)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.99% (

0.96)

54.01% (

-0.96)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.55% (

0.8)

75.45% (

-0.8)

Brest Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.56% (

0.17)

22.44% (

-0.17)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.03% (

0.25)

55.97% (

-0.25)

Nantes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.94% (

1.1)

36.06% (

-1.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.16% (

1.11)

72.84% (

-1.1)

Score Analysis

Brest 48.17%

Nantes 25.83%

Draw 26%

Brest	Draw	Nantes
1-0 @ 12.09% ( -0.4) 2-1 @ 9.22% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 9.04% ( -0.25) 3-1 @ 4.59% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 4.5% ( -0.1) 3-2 @ 2.34% ( 0.09) 4-1 @ 1.72% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.68% ( -0.03) Other @ 3% Total : 48.17%	1-1 @ 12.33% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 8.09% ( -0.31) 2-2 @ 4.7% ( 0.15) Other @ 0.88% Total : 26%	0-1 @ 8.25% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 6.29% ( 0.17) 0-2 @ 4.21% ( 0.09) 1-3 @ 2.14% ( 0.12) 2-3 @ 1.6% ( 0.1) 0-3 @ 1.43% ( 0.07) Other @ 1.91% Total : 25.83%