Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Galway United win with a probability of 51.76%. A draw had a probability of 27.3% and a win for Drogheda United had a probability of 20.91%.

The most likely scoreline for a Galway United win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.06%) and 2-1 (8.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.33%), while for a Drogheda United win it was 0-1 (8.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Galway United would win this match.

Result
Galway United	Draw	Drogheda United
51.76% ( 0.07)	27.33% ( 0.09)	20.91% ( -0.15)

Both teams to score 41.12% (

-0.38)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

37.59% (

-0.39)

62.42% (

0.39)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

17.96% (

-0.29)

82.04% (

0.29)

Galway United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.57% (

-0.14)

24.44% (

0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.13% (

-0.2)

58.87% (

0.2)

Drogheda United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

54.41% (

-0.39)

45.59% (

0.39)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

18.6% (

-0.31)

81.4% (

0.31)

Score Analysis

Galway United 51.76%

Drogheda United 20.91%

Draw 27.32%

Galway United	Draw	Drogheda United
1-0 @ 15.69% ( 0.16) 2-0 @ 11.06% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 8.69% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 5.2% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 4.08% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 1.83% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.6% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 1.44% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.17% Total : 51.76%	1-1 @ 12.33% 0-0 @ 11.13% ( 0.16) 2-2 @ 3.41% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.45% Total : 27.32%	0-1 @ 8.75% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 4.84% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 3.44% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 1.27% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.61% Total : 20.91%