Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shelbourne win with a probability of 39.32%. A win for Drogheda United had a probability of 31.51% and a draw had a probability of 29.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shelbourne win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.8%) and 0-2 (7.7%). The likeliest Drogheda United win was 1-0 (11.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.36%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4% likelihood.