Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shelbourne win with a probability of 40.25%. A win for Cork City had a probability of 32.55% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shelbourne win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.42%) and 2-0 (7.35%). The likeliest Cork City win was 0-1 (9.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.