Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Drogheda United win with a probability of 36.31%. A win for Shamrock Rovers had a probability of 36.27% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Drogheda United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.91%) and 2-0 (6.5%). The likeliest Shamrock Rovers win was 0-1 (10.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.