Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sligo Rovers win with a probability of 38.74%. A win for Shamrock Rovers had a probability of 34.99% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sligo Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.42%) and 2-0 (6.64%). The likeliest Shamrock Rovers win was 0-1 (9.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.49%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sligo Rovers would win this match.