Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Patrick's Athletic win with a probability of 66.23%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Sligo Rovers had a probability of 13.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Patrick's Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.9%) and 2-1 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.72%), while for a Sligo Rovers win it was 0-1 (4.95%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that St Patrick's Athletic would win this match.