Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Patrick's Athletic win with a probability of 64.39%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Drogheda United had a probability of 14.19%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Patrick's Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.68%) and 2-1 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.1%), while for a Drogheda United win it was 0-1 (5.33%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.