Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Galway United win with a probability of 55.57%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for St Patrick's Athletic had a probability of 19.41%.
The most likely scoreline for a Galway United win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.27%) and 2-1 (9.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.69%), while for a St Patrick's Athletic win it was 0-1 (7.32%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Galway United would win this match.