Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shamrock Rovers win with a probability of 38.02%. A win for Bohemians had a probability of 36.91% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shamrock Rovers win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.35%) and 0-2 (5.99%). The likeliest Bohemians win was 2-1 (8.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.77%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.