League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 5
Mar 7, 2025 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Tallaght Stadium
  • 4' goal
  • Cory O'Sullivan 34' yellowcard
  • Daniel Grant 64' goal
  • Gary O'Neil 87' yellowcard
  • Josh Honohan 88' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jake Mulraney 21'
  • yellowcard Axel Sjoberg 45'

Shamrock Rovers vs St Patrick's Athletic - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Shamrock Rovers

All competitions
League of Ireland Premier
Last game
Mar 3, 2025 7.45pm
Sligo 2 - 1 Shamrock
Goals scored
56
Top scorer
Graham Burke

St Patrick's Athletic

All competitions
League of Ireland Premier
Last game
Mar 3, 2025 7.45pm
St Patrick's 2 - 0 Derry
Goals scored
42
Top scorer
Mason Melia

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shamrock Rovers win with a probability of 38.38%. A win for St Patrick's Athletic had a probability of 35.09% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shamrock Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.34%) and 2-0 (6.66%). The likeliest St Patrick's Athletic win was 0-1 (9.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Shamrock Rovers in this match.

Result

Shamrock Rovers 38.38% (-0.11)
Draw 26.52% (+0.04)
St Patrick's Athletic 35.09% (+0.07)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.39% (-0.12)

Goals

Over 2.5 47.53% (-0.16)
Under 2.5 52.47% (+0.16)
Over 3.5 25.86% (-0.13)
Under 3.5 74.14% (+0.13)
Over 4.5 11.91% (-0.09)
Under 4.5 88.09% (+0.09)

Shamrock Rovers Goals

Over 0.5 73.35% (-0.13)
Under 0.5 26.64% (+0.13)
Over 1.5 38.11% (-0.17)
Under 1.5 61.89% (+0.17)

St Patrick's Athletic Goals

Over 0.5 71.42% (-0.04)
Under 0.5 28.58% (+0.04)
Over 1.5 35.63% (-0.05)
Under 1.5 64.37% (+0.05)

Score analysis

Shamrock Rovers 38.38%
Draw 26.52%
St Patrick's Athletic 35.09%
Shamrock Rovers
1-0 @ 10.07% (+0.04)
2-1 @ 8.34% (-0.02)
2-0 @ 6.66% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 3.68% (-0.03)
3-0 @ 2.94% (-0.02)
3-2 @ 2.3% (-0.02)
4-1 @ 1.22% (-0.02)
Other @ 3.18%
Total : 38.38%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.61% (+0.02)
0-0 @ 7.61% (+0.05)
2-2 @ 5.22% (-0.02)
Other @ 1.07%
Total : 26.52%
St Patrick's Athletic
0-1 @ 9.54% (+0.05)
1-2 @ 7.9% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 5.97% (+0.03)
1-3 @ 3.3% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 2.49% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.18% (-0.01)
1-4 @ 1.03% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.68%
Total : 35.09%

Head to Head

League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 32
Sep 27, 2024 8.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 2
FT Tallaght Stadium
  • Graham Burke 55' yellowcard
  • goal Joe Redmond 1'
  • goal Jake Mulraney 13'
  • yellowcard Tom Grivosti 51'
  • goal Jake Mulraney 59'
League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 21
Jun 13, 2024 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT Richmond Park
  • Tom Grivosti 17' yellowcard
  • Ruairi Keating 76' goal
  • Joe Redmond 88' yellowcard
  • Brandon Kavanagh 90'+6' goal
  • goal Johnny Kenny 32'
  • yellowcard Markus Poom 58'
  • yellowcard Lee Steacy 71'
  • yellowcard Jack Byrne 89'
  • yellowcard Dylan Watts 90'
League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 15
May 10, 2024 7.45pm
2
2
HT : 1 1
FT Tallaght Stadium
  • Aaron Greene 4' goal
  • Roberto Lopes 41' yellowcard
  • Daniel Cleary 60' goal
  • Markus Poom 87' yellowcard
  • goal Luke Turner 23'
  • yellowcard Ruairi Keating 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Anthony Breslin 51'
  • goal Mason Melia 64'
  • yellowcard Joe Redmond 73'
  • yellowcard Chris Forrester 87'
League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 9
Apr 5, 2024 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT Richmond Park
  • Joe Redmond 53' goal
  • Alex Nolan 56' goal
  • Jamie Lennon 63' yellowcard
  • goal Darragh Nugent 4'
  • yellowcard Dylan Watts 47'
  • yellowcard Markus Poom 49'
  • yellowcard Aaron Greene 64'
  • yellowcard Daniel Cleary 90'
League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 35
Oct 27, 2023 8.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT Richmond Park
  • Tom Lonergan 40' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ronan Finn 25'
  • yellowcard Stephen Bradley 26'
  • yellowcard Markus Poom 30'
  • yellowcard Dylan Watts 80'
  • goal Aaron Greene 84'
  • yellowcard Richie Towell 88'
  • goal Graham Burke 90'+2'
  • yellowcard Sean Kavanagh 90'+7'
League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 24
May 15, 2023 8.00pm
3
2
HT : 1 1
FT Waterford Regional Sports Centre
  • Lee Grace 45'+2' goal
  • Richie Towell 68' goal
  • Richie Towell 89' goal
  • goal Mark Doyle 28'
  • goal Ben McCormack 84'