Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shamrock Rovers win with a probability of 38.38%. A win for St Patrick's Athletic had a probability of 35.09% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shamrock Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.34%) and 2-0 (6.66%). The likeliest St Patrick's Athletic win was 0-1 (9.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Shamrock Rovers in this match.