St Patrick's Athletic
League of Ireland Premier | Gameweek 4
Mar 3, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
Richmond Park
Derry City

St Patrick's
2 - 0
Derry

Keena (16' pen., 67' pen.)
Grivosti (47'), Grivosti (48')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Connolly (39'), Hoban (48'), Diallo (76'), Patton (90+1')
Winchester (47')
Coverage of the League of Ireland Premier clash between St Patrick's Athletic and Derry City.

Form, Standings, Stats

St Patrick's Athletic

All competitions
Last Game: St Patrick's 4-3 Sligo
Friday, February 28 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier

Derry City

All competitions
Last Game: Derry 1-2 Waterford
Friday, February 28 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Patrick's Athletic win with a probability of 43.09%. A win for Derry City had a probability of 29.81% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a St Patrick's Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.69%) and 2-0 (8.05%). The likeliest Derry City win was 0-1 (9.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.81%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that St Patrick's Athletic would win this match.

Result
St Patrick's AthleticDrawDerry City
43.09% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)27.1% (0.197 0.2)29.81% (-0.174 -0.17)
Both teams to score 49% (-0.664 -0.66)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.94% (-0.811 -0.81)56.06% (0.812 0.81)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.86% (-0.661 -0.66)77.14% (0.66200000000001 0.66)
St Patrick's Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.22% (-0.378 -0.38)25.78% (0.379 0.38)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.28% (-0.516 -0.52)60.72% (0.517 0.52)
Derry City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.01% (-0.55499999999999 -0.55)33.99% (0.556 0.56)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.33% (-0.606 -0.61)70.67% (0.607 0.61)
Score Analysis
    St Patrick's Athletic 43.09%
    Derry City 29.81%
    Draw 27.1%
St Patrick's AthleticDrawDerry City
1-0 @ 11.87% (0.24 0.24)
2-1 @ 8.69% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
2-0 @ 8.05% (0.077 0.08)
3-1 @ 3.93% (-0.065 -0.07)
3-0 @ 3.64% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-2 @ 2.12% (-0.068 -0.07)
4-1 @ 1.33% (-0.036 -0.04)
4-0 @ 1.23% (-0.015 -0.01)
Other @ 2.23%
Total : 43.09%
1-1 @ 12.81% (0.06 0.06)
0-0 @ 8.76% (0.27 0.27)
2-2 @ 4.69% (-0.099 -0.1)
Other @ 0.84%
Total : 27.1%
0-1 @ 9.46% (0.152 0.15)
1-2 @ 6.92% (-0.069 -0.07)
0-2 @ 5.1% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-3 @ 2.49% (-0.063 -0.06)
0-3 @ 1.84% (-0.027 -0.03)
2-3 @ 1.69% (-0.062 -0.06)
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 29.81%

How you voted: St Patrick's vs Derry

St Patrick's Athletic
100%
Draw
0.0%
Derry City
0.0%
7
Head to Head
Oct 25, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 35
St Patrick's
1-0
Derry
Kavanagh (44')
Lennon (36'), Leavy (84'), Palmer (84')

Idehen (23'), Boyce (25'), Diallo (34'), McEleney (53'), Davenport (88')
May 17, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 16
St Patrick's
0-1
Derry

Redmond (82')
McMullan (76')
Hoban (22'), Coll (88')
Apr 22, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 24
Derry
3-1
St Patrick's
Mullen (16', 56'), Hoban (51')
Hoban (13'), McJannett (20'), O'Reilly (72')
Keeley (54')
Lennon (38'), McLaughlin (74'), Keeley (82')
Mar 1, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 3
Derry
2-1
St Patrick's
Hoban (65'), Mullen (90+2')
Hoban (31')
Keating (47')
Breslin (66'), Pitaluga (80'), Kavanagh (85')
Nov 3, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 36
Derry
3-0
St Patrick's
Kavanagh (11'), Patching (26'), McEneff (86')
Connolly (30'), Dummigan (73')

McGrath (85')
rhs 2.0


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!