League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 4
Mar 3, 2025 7.45pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Richmond Park
  • Aidan Keena 16' goal
  • Tom Grivosti 47' yellowcard
  • Tom Grivosti 48' yellowcard
  • Aidan Keena 67' goal
  • yellowcard Mark Connolly 39'
  • redcard Carl Winchester 47'
  • yellowcard Patrick Hoban 48'
  • yellowcard Sadou Diallo 76'
  • yellowcard Sean Patton 90'+1'

St Patrick's Athletic vs Derry City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

St Patrick's Athletic

All competitions
League of Ireland Premier
Last game
Feb 28, 2025 7.45pm
St Patrick's 4 - 3 Sligo
Goals scored
42
Top scorer
Mason Melia

Derry City

All competitions
League of Ireland Premier
Last game
Feb 28, 2025 7.45pm
Derry 1 - 2 Waterford
Goals scored
52
Top scorer
Michael Duffy

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Patrick's Athletic win with a probability of 43.09%. A win for Derry City had a probability of 29.81% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a St Patrick's Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.69%) and 2-0 (8.05%). The likeliest Derry City win was 0-1 (9.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.81%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that St Patrick's Athletic would win this match.

Result

St Patrick's Athletic 43.09% (-0.03)
Draw 27.1% (+0.20)
Derry City 29.81% (-0.18)

Both Teams to Score: 

49% (-0.67)

Goals

Over 2.5 43.94% (-0.82)
Under 2.5 56.06% (+0.82)
Over 3.5 22.86% (-0.67)
Under 3.5 77.14% (+0.67)
Over 4.5 10.03% (-0.41)
Under 4.5 89.97% (+0.41)

St Patrick's Athletic Goals

Over 0.5 74.22% (-0.38)
Under 0.5 25.78% (+0.38)
Over 1.5 39.28% (-0.52)
Under 1.5 60.72% (+0.52)

Derry City Goals

Over 0.5 66.01% (-0.56)
Under 0.5 33.99% (+0.56)
Over 1.5 29.33% (-0.61)
Under 1.5 70.67% (+0.61)

Score analysis

St Patrick's Athletic 43.09%
Draw 27.1%
Derry City 29.81%
St Patrick's Athletic
1-0 @ 11.87% (+0.24)
2-1 @ 8.69% (-0.05)
2-0 @ 8.05% (+0.08)
3-1 @ 3.93% (-0.07)
3-0 @ 3.64% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.12% (-0.07)
4-1 @ 1.33% (-0.04)
4-0 @ 1.23% (-0.02)
Other @ 2.23%
Total : 43.09%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.81% (+0.07)
0-0 @ 8.76% (+0.27)
2-2 @ 4.69% (-0.10)
Other @ 0.84%
Total : 27.1%
Derry City
0-1 @ 9.46% (+0.16)
1-2 @ 6.92% (-0.07)
0-2 @ 5.1% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 2.49% (-0.07)
0-3 @ 1.84% (-0.03)
2-3 @ 1.69% (-0.07)
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 29.81%

Head to Head

League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 35
Oct 25, 2024 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Richmond Park
  • Jamie Lennon 36' yellowcard
  • Brandon Kavanagh 44' goal
  • Kian Leavy 84' yellowcard
  • Romal Palmer 84' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Duncan Idehen 23'
  • yellowcard Ronan Boyce 25'
  • yellowcard Sadou Diallo 34'
  • yellowcard Shane McEleney 53'
  • yellowcard Jacob Davenport 88'
League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 16
May 17, 2024 7.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Richmond Park
  • Joe Redmond 82' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Patrick Hoban 22'
  • goal Paul McMullan 76'
  • yellowcard Ciaran Coll 88'
League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 24
Apr 22, 2024 7.45pm
3
1
HT : 1 0
FT Brandywell Stadium
  • Patrick Hoban 13' yellowcard
  • Danny Mullen 16' goal
  • Cameron McJannett 20' yellowcard
  • Patrick Hoban 51' goal
  • Danny Mullen 56' goal
  • Adam O'Reilly 72' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jamie Lennon 38'
  • goal Conor Keeley 54'
  • yellowcard Ryan McLaughlin 74'
  • yellowcard Conor Keeley 82'
League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 3
Mar 1, 2024 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT Brandywell Stadium
  • Patrick Hoban 31' yellowcard
  • Patrick Hoban 65' goal
  • Danny Mullen 90'+2' goal
  • goal Ruairi Keating 47'
  • yellowcard Anthony Breslin 66'
  • yellowcard Marcelo Pitaluga 80'
  • yellowcard Cian Kavanagh 85'
League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 36
Nov 3, 2023 7.45pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT Brandywell Stadium
  • Brandon Kavanagh 11' goal
  • William Patching 26' goal
  • Mark Connolly 30' yellowcard
  • Cameron Dummigan 73' yellowcard
  • Jordan McEneff 86' goal
  • yellowcard Jay McGrath 85'
League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 19
Jun 5, 2023 6.45pm
4
1
HT : 1 0
FT Richmond Park
  • Jay McGrath 36' goal
  • Eoin Doyle 62' goal
  • Chris Forrester 67' goal
  • Mark Doyle 79' goal
  • goal Cian Kavanagh 65'