Hungarian NB I | Gameweek 21
Feb 21, 2025 at 7pm UK
Hidegkuti Nandor Stadion

MTK
4 - 0
Diosgyor

Kovacs (26'), Jurina (41'), Kadar (58'), Varju (78')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Gera (50')
Coverage of the Hungarian NB I clash between MTK and Diosgyor.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Kecskemeti TE 5-0 MTK
Saturday, February 15 at 1.30pm in Hungarian NB I
Last Game: Diosgyor 1-2 Nyiregyhaza
Saturday, February 15 at 4pm in Hungarian NB I

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MTK win with a probability of 45.34%. A win for Diosgyor had a probability of 29.24% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a MTK win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.17%) and 2-0 (7.85%). The likeliest Diosgyor win was 0-1 (7.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.07%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that MTK would win this match.

Result
MTKDrawDiosgyor
45.34% (0.0030000000000001 0)25.42% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)29.24% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Both teams to score 53.84%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.34% (0.0030000000000001 0)49.66% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.33% (0.0019999999999989 0)71.67% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
MTK Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.11% (0.0019999999999953 0)21.89% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.86% (0.0030000000000001 0)55.14% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Diosgyor Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.92% (-0.00099999999999056 -0)31.07% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.61%67.39%
Score Analysis
    MTK 45.33%
    Diosgyor 29.24%
    Draw 25.42%
MTKDrawDiosgyor
1-0 @ 10.33%
2-1 @ 9.17%
2-0 @ 7.85%
3-1 @ 4.65% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-0 @ 3.98% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 2.72%
4-1 @ 1.76%
4-0 @ 1.51% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 1.03%
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 45.33%
1-1 @ 12.07%
0-0 @ 6.8%
2-2 @ 5.36%
3-3 @ 1.06%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.42%
0-1 @ 7.95% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-2 @ 7.06%
0-2 @ 4.65%
1-3 @ 2.75%
2-3 @ 2.09%
0-3 @ 1.81%
Other @ 2.94%
Total : 29.24%

Head to Head
Oct 19, 2024 4.30pm
Gameweek 10
Diosgyor
0-2
MTK
Kosznovszky (2'), Molnar (42')
Jurina (73'), Kosznovszky (84')
Apr 14, 2024 1pm
Gameweek 28
MTK
1-1
Diosgyor
Bognar (31')
Kocsis (43'), Kovacs (45+2')
Pernambuco (85')
Franchu (74')
Dec 16, 2023 4.30pm
Gameweek 17
Diosgyor
3-3
MTK
Szatmari (33'), Gey (77' og.), Franchu (78')
Edomwonyi (28'), Chorbadzhiyski (31'), Holdampf (45+2'), Szatmari (84')
Stieber (19'), Antonov (64'), Vegh (82')
Kocsis (28'), Varju (42')
Sep 2, 2023 2.15pm
Gameweek 6
MTK
2-1
Diosgyor
Kata (5'), Bognar (57')
Gey (38'), Zsori (90+4')
Vallejo (60')
Bardos (21')
rhs 2.0


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