Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Diosgyor win with a probability of 48.37%. A win for Ujpest had a probability of 25.94% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Diosgyor win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.29%) and 2-0 (8.92%). The likeliest Ujpest win was 0-1 (8.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.