Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MTK win with a probability of 42.39%. A win for Diosgyor had a probability of 33.54% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a MTK win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.84%) and 2-0 (6.33%). The likeliest Diosgyor win was 1-2 (7.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood.