Eerste Divisie | Gameweek 37
May 2, 2025 at 7pm UK
De Geusselt

MVV
1 - 0
Jong Ajax

Klaasen (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Coverage of the Eerste Divisie clash between MVV Maastricht and Jong Ajax.

Form, Standings, Stats

MVV Maastricht

All competitions
Last Game: Dordrecht 3-0 MVV
Friday, April 25 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie

Jong Ajax

All competitions
Last Game: Jong Ajax 1-0 Helmond
Monday, April 28 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MVV Maastricht win with a probability of 56.46%. A win for Jong Ajax had a probability of 23.11% and a draw had a probability of 20.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a MVV Maastricht win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.04%) and 3-1 (6.84%). The likeliest Jong Ajax win was 1-2 (5.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that MVV Maastricht would win this match.

Result
MVV MaastrichtDrawJong Ajax
56.46% (0.292 0.29)20.43% (-0.061 -0.06)23.11% (-0.232 -0.23)
Both teams to score 65.42% (-0.097000000000008 -0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
68.18% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)31.82% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
46.65% (0.007000000000005 0.01)53.35% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
MVV Maastricht Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.63% (0.079999999999998 0.08)11.37% (-0.082000000000001 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.92% (0.175 0.17)36.08% (-0.176 -0.18)
Jong Ajax Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.81% (-0.17699999999999 -0.18)26.19% (0.176 0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.73% (-0.237 -0.24)61.27% (0.237 0.24)
Score Analysis
    MVV Maastricht 56.46%
    Jong Ajax 23.11%
    Draw 20.43%
MVV MaastrichtDrawJong Ajax
2-1 @ 9.43% (0.011000000000001 0.01)
2-0 @ 7.04% (0.044 0.04)
3-1 @ 6.84% (0.031 0.03)
1-0 @ 6.47% (0.019 0.02)
3-0 @ 5.1% (0.048 0.05)
3-2 @ 4.58% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-1 @ 3.72% (0.028 0.03)
4-0 @ 2.77% (0.035 0.04)
4-2 @ 2.49% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.62% (0.018 0.02)
5-0 @ 1.21% (0.019 0.02)
4-3 @ 1.11% (-0.002 -0)
5-2 @ 1.08% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 3.01%
Total : 56.46%
1-1 @ 8.67% (-0.019 -0.02)
2-2 @ 6.32% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
0-0 @ 2.98% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-3 @ 2.05% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 0.42%
Total : 20.43%
1-2 @ 5.81% (-0.042000000000001 -0.04)
0-1 @ 3.99% (-0.022 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.82% (-0.025 -0.02)
0-2 @ 2.67% (-0.028 -0.03)
1-3 @ 2.6% (-0.032 -0.03)
0-3 @ 1.19% (-0.018 -0.02)
2-4 @ 0.95% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 3.09%
Total : 23.11%

Head to Head
Aug 19, 2024 7pm
Gameweek 2
Jong Ajax
0-0
MVV
Faberski (81')
Smeets (35'), Zeegers (60')
Feb 12, 2024 7pm
Gameweek 25
Jong Ajax
3-0
MVV
Rijkhoff (18', 31'), Chourak (65')
Sep 1, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 4
MVV
2-1
Jong Ajax
Kostons (3', 13')
Kostons (42'), Coomans (64'), Matthys (90+1')
Souren (75')
Misehouy (87')
Gooijer (42'), Misehouy (90+1'), Agougil (90+5'), Vos (90+4')
Feb 20, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 25
Jong Ajax
4-2
MVV
Fitz-Jim (5'), Conceicao (8'), Godts (51'), Banel (90+4')
Blummel (31'), Steuckers (65')
Sep 16, 2022 7pm
Gameweek 7
MVV
4-1
Jong Ajax
Remans (10'), Blummel (28'), Kostons (68'), Van Bommel (85')
Misehouy (53')