Ukrainian Premier League | Gameweek 30
May 25, 2025 at 4pm UK
Stadion Ukrajina

Karpaty
1 - 3
Luhansk

Baboglo (17')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Jordan (25'), Micin (57'), Slesar (73')
Dryshliuk (26'), (70'), Budkivskyi (70')
Coverage of the Ukrainian Premier League clash between Karpaty Lviv and Zorya Luhansk.

Form, Standings, Stats

Karpaty Lviv

All competitions
Last Game: Kovalivka 2-1 Karpaty
Saturday, May 17 at 11am in Ukrainian Premier League

Zorya Luhansk

All competitions
Last Game: Luhansk 0-1 Polissya
Saturday, May 17 at 11am in Ukrainian Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Karpaty Lviv win with a probability of 52.97%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Zorya Luhansk had a probability of 23.03%.

The most likely scoreline for a Karpaty Lviv win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.71%) and 2-0 (9.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.39%), while for a Zorya Luhansk win it was 0-1 (6.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2% likelihood.

Result
Karpaty LvivDrawZorya Luhansk
52.97% (0.835 0.84)23.99% (-0.29 -0.29)23.03% (-0.544 -0.54)
Both teams to score 52.82% (0.278 0.28)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.65% (0.675 0.68)48.35% (-0.67700000000001 -0.68)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.51% (0.615 0.62)70.49% (-0.617 -0.62)
Karpaty Lviv Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.8% (0.57600000000001 0.58)18.2% (-0.578 -0.58)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.79% (0.974 0.97)49.2% (-0.976 -0.98)
Zorya Luhansk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.57% (-0.11800000000001 -0.12)35.42% (0.117 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.81% (-0.123 -0.12)72.18% (0.121 0.12)
Score Analysis
    Karpaty Lviv 52.97%
    Zorya Luhansk 23.03%
    Draw 23.98%
Karpaty LvivDrawZorya Luhansk
1-0 @ 10.98% (-0.1 -0.1)
2-1 @ 9.71% (0.057 0.06)
2-0 @ 9.36% (0.084999999999999 0.08)
3-1 @ 5.52% (0.133 0.13)
3-0 @ 5.31% (0.144 0.14)
3-2 @ 2.86% (0.06 0.06)
4-1 @ 2.35% (0.098 0.1)
4-0 @ 2.26% (0.102 0.1)
4-2 @ 1.22% (0.047 0.05)
Other @ 3.4%
Total : 52.97%
1-1 @ 11.39% (-0.15 -0.15)
0-0 @ 6.45% (-0.182 -0.18)
2-2 @ 5.04% (0.013 0.01)
3-3 @ 0.99% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 23.98%
0-1 @ 6.69% (-0.211 -0.21)
1-2 @ 5.92% (-0.094 -0.09)
0-2 @ 3.47% (-0.122 -0.12)
1-3 @ 2.05% (-0.04 -0.04)
2-3 @ 1.74% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 1.2% (-0.046 -0.05)
Other @ 1.97%
Total : 23.03%

Head to Head
Dec 2, 2024 4pm
Gameweek 15
Luhansk
2-1
Karpaty
Micin (69', 80')
Slesar (40'), Budkivskyi (42'), Dryshliuk (65'), Basic (84'), Miroshnichenko (84')
Polehenko (20' pen.)
Kostenko (46'), Pedroso (74'), Alvarez Garcia (77'), Micin (84'), Baboglo (84')
Nov 30, 2019 12pm
Gameweek 16
Luhansk
2-0
Karpaty
Vernydub (54'), Rusyn (87')
Ivanisenya (58'), Lednev (63'), Abu Hanna (66')

Martins (56'), Deda (59')
Aug 25, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 5
Karpaty
0-1
Luhansk

Di Franco (67'), Ponde (67')
Budkivskyi (58')
Kamenyuka (52'), Ivanisenia (67'), Khomchenovskiy (79'), Bily (85'), Budkivskyi (89')
Nov 10, 2018 3pm
Gameweek 15
Luhansk
2-1
Karpaty
Khomchenovskiy (16'), Gordienko (71')
Araujo Da Silva (66'), Kharatin (91'), Tymchyk (93')
Shved (34')
Ponde (50'), Miroshnichenko (68'), Carrascal (76')
Aug 12, 2018 3pm
Gameweek 4
Karpaty
0-1
Luhansk

Lebedenko (81'), Mendez (95')
Kharatin (77')
Svatok (25'), Mykhaylychenko (75'), Khomchenovsky (95')