Kovalivka
Ukrainian Premier League | Gameweek 29
May 17, 2025 at 11am UK
Stadion Kolos

Kovalivka
2 - 1
Karpaty

Veleten (55'), Gagnidze (89')
Alefirenko (44'), Kostyshyn (45'), Krasniqi (67'), Veleten (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Krasniqi (9' og.)
Coverage of the Ukrainian Premier League clash between Kolos Kovalivka and Karpaty Lviv.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Kryvbas Kryvyi 0-1 Kovalivka
Sunday, May 11 at 12.35pm in Ukrainian Premier League
Last Game: Karpaty 2-1 Oleksandriya
Sunday, May 11 at 4pm in Ukrainian Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Karpaty Lviv win with a probability of 40.09%. A draw had a probability of 30% and a win for Kolos Kovalivka had a probability of 29.88%.

The most likely scoreline for a Karpaty Lviv win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.12%) and 1-2 (7.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.39%), while for a Kolos Kovalivka win it was 1-0 (11.82%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.

Result
Kolos KovalivkaDrawKarpaty Lviv
29.88% (-0.36 -0.36)30.03% (-0.074999999999999 -0.07)40.09% (0.432 0.43)
Both teams to score 41.18% (0.064 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
34.17% (0.13800000000001 0.14)65.83% (-0.14 -0.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
15.54% (0.096 0.1)84.47% (-0.096999999999994 -0.1)
Kolos Kovalivka Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.74% (-0.207 -0.21)39.26% (0.205 0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.03% (-0.194 -0.19)75.97% (0.193 0.19)
Karpaty Lviv Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.79% (0.334 0.33)32.21% (-0.336 -0.34)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.3% (0.379 0.38)68.7% (-0.381 -0.38)
Score Analysis
    Kolos Kovalivka 29.88%
    Karpaty Lviv 40.08%
    Draw 30.02%
Kolos KovalivkaDrawKarpaty Lviv
1-0 @ 11.82% (-0.13 -0.13)
2-1 @ 6.26% (-0.045000000000001 -0.05)
2-0 @ 5.53% (-0.091 -0.09)
3-1 @ 1.95% (-0.025 -0.03)
3-0 @ 1.72% (-0.038 -0.04)
3-2 @ 1.11% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 1.49%
Total : 29.88%
1-1 @ 13.39% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 12.64% (-0.059999999999999 -0.06)
2-2 @ 3.55% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 0.45%
Total : 30.02%
0-1 @ 14.32% (0.06 0.06)
0-2 @ 8.12% (0.107 0.11)
1-2 @ 7.59% (0.058 0.06)
0-3 @ 3.07% (0.068 0.07)
1-3 @ 2.87% (0.048 0.05)
2-3 @ 1.34% (0.015 0.02)
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 40.08%

Head to Head
Nov 22, 2024 4pm
Gameweek 14
Karpaty
1-0
Kovalivka
Bruninho (31')
Baboglo (78')

Veleten (18'), Bondarenko (23'), Kozik (39')
Feb 29, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 20
Kovalivka
2-1
Karpaty
Ilyin (11'), Petrov (42')
Emets (25'), Smyrnyi (84')
Kozak (78')
Boiciuc (45'), Giorgadze (47'), Pasich (65'), Prytula (77'), Nazaryna (90')
Sep 28, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 9
Karpaty
1-2
Kovalivka
Nazaryna (28')
Klots (2'), Diogo (26'), Vakulenko (38')
Smyrnyi (8'), Volkov (44')
Orikhovskyy (4'), Kostyshyn (5'), Paramonov (67'), Kizilatesh (73'), Chornomorets (74'), Nekhtiy (83')