Ukrainian Premier League | Gameweek 26

Apr 26, 2025 at 4pm UK

Obolon' Arena

Obolon
2 - 2
Karpaty

Stasyuk (20', 20'), Taranukha (81')
Kurko (26'), Karas (45+3'), Vitenchuk (62')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Pryymak (28'), Neves Alves (90')
Chachua (45+2')

Coverage of the Ukrainian Premier League clash between Obolon Kyiv and Karpaty Lviv.

Form, Standings, Stats

Obolon Kyiv

All competitions

Last Game: Dynamo Kiev 3-0 Obolon
Friday, April 18 at 4pm in Ukrainian Premier League

Goals
for

Karpaty Lviv

All competitions

Last Game: Karpaty 3-1 Rukh Lviv
Saturday, April 19 at 11am in Ukrainian Premier League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Karpaty Lviv win with a probability of 43.21%. A draw had a probability of 29.7% and a win for Obolon Kyiv had a probability of 27.05%.

The most likely scoreline for a Karpaty Lviv win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.97%) and 1-2 (7.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.2%), while for a Obolon Kyiv win it was 1-0 (11.09%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood.

Result
Obolon Kyiv	Draw	Karpaty Lviv
27.05% ( -0.43)	29.73% ( 0.06)	43.21% ( 0.37)

Both teams to score 40.63% (

-0.38)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

34.15% (

-0.35)

65.85% (

0.35)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

15.52% (

-0.24)

84.48% (

0.24)

Obolon Kyiv Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.37% (

-0.58)

41.62% (

0.58)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.89% (

-0.51)

78.11% (

0.51)

Karpaty Lviv Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.6% (

0.03)

30.4% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.4% (

0.04)

66.6% (

-0.04)

Score Analysis

Obolon Kyiv 27.05%

Karpaty Lviv 43.21%

Draw 29.72%

Obolon Kyiv	Draw	Karpaty Lviv
1-0 @ 11.09% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 5.79% ( -0.11) 2-0 @ 4.86% ( -0.09) 3-1 @ 1.69% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 1.42% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 1.01% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.2% Total : 27.05%	1-1 @ 13.2% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 12.65% ( 0.17) 2-2 @ 3.45% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.43% Total : 29.72%	0-1 @ 15.06% ( 0.21) 0-2 @ 8.97% ( 0.13) 1-2 @ 7.86% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 3.56% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 3.12% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.37% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 1.06% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 0.93% Other @ 1.27% Total : 43.21%