Ukrainian Premier League | Gameweek 25

Apr 19, 2025 at 11am UK

Stadion Ukrajina

Karpaty
3 - 1
Rukh Lviv

Bruninho (20'), Neves Alves (45'), Chachua (72')
Ocheretko (37'), Ocheretko (45+1'), Neves Alves (74'), Klymenko (79'), Baboglo (90+5'), Kinareykin (90+2'), Baboglo (90+5')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Pastukh (89')
Sliusar (33'), Ryabov (83'), Lyakh (90+5'), Runich (90+3')
Lyakh (90+5')

Coverage of the Ukrainian Premier League clash between Karpaty Lviv and Rukh Lviv.

Form, Standings, Stats

Karpaty Lviv

All competitions

Last Game: Inhulets 1-2 Karpaty
Monday, April 14 at 1.30pm in Ukrainian Premier League

Goals
for

Rukh Lviv

All competitions

Last Game: Rukh Lviv 1-1 Oleksandriya
Saturday, April 12 at 1.30pm in Ukrainian Premier League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Karpaty Lviv win with a probability of 40.86%. A win for Rukh Lviv had a probability of 30.74% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Karpaty Lviv win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.17%) and 2-0 (7.9%). The likeliest Rukh Lviv win was 0-1 (10.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.2%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Karpaty Lviv would win this match.

Result
Karpaty Lviv	Draw	Rukh Lviv
40.86% ( -0.19)	28.4% ( 0.22)	30.74% ( -0.04)

Both teams to score 45.72% (

-0.63)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

39.61% (

-0.79)

60.39% (

0.78)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.46% (

-0.6)

80.53% (

0.6)

Karpaty Lviv Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.98% (

-0.48)

29.02% (

0.48)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.08% (

-0.6)

64.92% (

0.6)

Rukh Lviv Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.41% (

-0.45)

35.58% (

0.45)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.64% (

-0.47)

72.35% (

0.46)

Score Analysis

Karpaty Lviv 40.85%

Rukh Lviv 30.73%

Draw 28.39%

Karpaty Lviv	Draw	Rukh Lviv
1-0 @ 12.77% ( 0.2) 2-1 @ 8.17% ( -0.08) 2-0 @ 7.9% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 3.37% ( -0.08) 3-0 @ 3.26% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 1.74% ( -0.06) 4-1 @ 1.04% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 1.01% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.59% Total : 40.85%	1-1 @ 13.2% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 10.32% ( 0.3) 2-2 @ 4.22% ( -0.09) Other @ 0.65% Total : 28.39%	0-1 @ 10.66% ( 0.18) 1-2 @ 6.82% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 5.51% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 2.35% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 1.9% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.45% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.04% Total : 30.73%