Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Karpaty Lviv win with a probability of 40.86%. A win for Rukh Lviv had a probability of 30.74% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Karpaty Lviv win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.17%) and 2-0 (7.9%). The likeliest Rukh Lviv win was 0-1 (10.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.2%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Karpaty Lviv would win this match.