Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Oleksandriya win with a probability of 39.33%. A win for Karpaty Lviv had a probability of 32.39% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Oleksandriya win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.06%) and 0-2 (7.46%). The likeliest Karpaty Lviv win was 1-0 (10.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.2%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.