Ukrainian Premier League | Gameweek 28
May 11, 2025 at 4pm UK
Stadion Ukrajina
Oleksandriya

Karpaty
2 - 1
Oleksandriya

Krasnopir (80' pen.), Chachua (90+5')
Baboglo (82')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Campos (11')
Shepelev (50'), Cara (60'), Kaliuzhnyi (73'), Kopyna (79'), Kravchenko (82'), Smyrnyi (84'), Geovani (85'), Ermakov (90+3'), Ermakov (90+3')
Kaliuzhnyi (90+1')
Coverage of the Ukrainian Premier League clash between Karpaty Lviv and FC Oleksandriya.

Form, Standings, Stats

Karpaty Lviv

All competitions
Last Game: Livyi Bereh 2-3 Karpaty
Friday, May 2 at 1.30pm in Ukrainian Premier League

FC Oleksandriya

All competitions
Last Game: Polissya 1-2 Oleksandriya
Sunday, May 4 at 4pm in Ukrainian Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Oleksandriya win with a probability of 39.33%. A win for Karpaty Lviv had a probability of 32.39% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Oleksandriya win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.06%) and 0-2 (7.46%). The likeliest Karpaty Lviv win was 1-0 (10.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.2%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.

Result
Karpaty LvivDrawFC Oleksandriya
32.39% (-1.021 -1.02)28.27% (0.188 0.19)39.33% (0.83600000000001 0.84)
Both teams to score 46.56% (-0.753 -0.75)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.42% (-0.84 -0.84)59.58% (0.842 0.84)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.08% (-0.647 -0.65)79.92% (0.651 0.65)
Karpaty Lviv Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.05% (-1.145 -1.15)33.95% (1.148 1.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.37% (-1.256 -1.26)70.63% (1.26 1.26)
FC Oleksandriya Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.5% (0.081000000000003 0.08)29.5% (-0.078000000000003 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.49% (0.095999999999997 0.1)65.51% (-0.093000000000004 -0.09)
Score Analysis
    Karpaty Lviv 32.38%
    FC Oleksandriya 39.33%
    Draw 28.26%
Karpaty LvivDrawFC Oleksandriya
1-0 @ 10.81%
2-1 @ 7.13% (-0.208 -0.21)
2-0 @ 5.84% (-0.183 -0.18)
3-1 @ 2.57% (-0.159 -0.16)
3-0 @ 2.1% (-0.135 -0.14)
3-2 @ 1.57% (-0.093 -0.09)
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 32.38%
1-1 @ 13.2% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-0 @ 10.01% (0.307 0.31)
2-2 @ 4.35% (-0.118 -0.12)
Other @ 0.69%
Total : 28.26%
0-1 @ 12.22% (0.4 0.4)
1-2 @ 8.06% (0.038 0.04)
0-2 @ 7.46% (0.265 0.27)
1-3 @ 3.28% (0.023 0.02)
0-3 @ 3.04% (0.114 0.11)
2-3 @ 1.77% (-0.044 -0.04)
1-4 @ 1% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
0-4 @ 0.93% (0.037 0.04)
Other @ 1.56%
Total : 39.33%

Head to Head
Nov 9, 2024 1.30pm
Gameweek 13
Oleksandriya
3-0
Karpaty
Amaral Ferreira Guimaraes (36', 54' pen., 87' pen.)

Alvarez Garcia (44')
Mar 4, 2020 5.30pm
Gameweek 21
Karpaty
0-4
Oleksandriya

Kozak (14'), Hall (31'), Nazaryna (59')
Tretyakov (37' pen., 58'), Sitalo (73'), Banada (89')
Miroshnichenko (50'), Dovgiy (90')
Oct 6, 2019 5.30pm
Gameweek 10
Oleksandriya
2-1
Karpaty
Grechyshkin (50'), Babohlo (82')
Stetskov (7'), Bezborodko (83'), Miroshnichenko (92')
Hall (58')
Dubinchak (64'), Verbnyi (76'), Hall (92')
Oct 21, 2018 5.30pm
Gameweek 12
Oleksandriya
2-1
Karpaty
Shastal (11'), Kovalets (41')
Zaporozhan (74'), Shendrik (94')
Hutsuliak (54')
Carrascal (18'), Boroday (23'), Hutsuliak (68'), Fedetskiy (93'), Di Franco (93')
Jul 22, 2018 3pm
Gameweek 1
Karpaty
0-2
Oleksandriya

Carrascal (16'), Golodyuk (40')
Tsurikov (72'), Ponomar (81')
Banada (18'), Zaderaka (82')
rhs 2.0


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