Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Italy Under-20s win with a probability of 40.83%. A win for England Under-20s had a probability of 31.7% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Italy Under-20s win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.41%) and 0-2 (7.59%). The likeliest England Under-20s win was 1-0 (10%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Italy Under-20s would win this match.

Result
England Under-20s	Draw	Italy Under-20s
31.7% ( 0.05)	27.47% ( 0.03)	40.83% ( -0.08)

Both teams to score 48.68% (

-0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.18% (

-0.1)

56.82% (

0.1)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.25% (

-0.08)

77.75% (

0.08)

England Under-20s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.99% (

-0.02)

33.01% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.41% (

-0.02)

69.59% (

0.02)

Italy Under-20s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.67% (

-0.09)

27.33% (

0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.21% (

-0.12)

62.79% (

0.12)

Score Analysis

England Under-20s 31.7%

Italy Under-20s 40.83%

Draw 27.47%

England Under-20s	Draw	Italy Under-20s
1-0 @ 10% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 7.19% ( 0) 2-0 @ 5.54% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 2.66% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.05% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.72% ( -0) Other @ 2.54% Total : 31.7%	1-1 @ 12.97% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 9.02% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 4.66% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.82% Total : 27.47%	0-1 @ 11.7% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 8.41% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 7.59% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.64% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 3.28% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.02% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.18% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.06% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.95% Total : 40.83%